Tuesday, 1 July 2008

Economics: The US Economy In 2008 Charted By The WSJ

Consumer confidence is low, prices are high, unemployment is up. The existing housing market is crashing and starts are down.

The Fed wants to fight inflation but if they do raise interest rates, this will put further pressure upon home owners.

The oil price is (as of today) over $142 and rising with the possible threat of war between Israel and Iran.

The financials are looking even weaker with MBIA and AMBAC downgraded. Fitch says that their positions are looking 'tenuous'.

Lehman Brothers stock is falling through the floor on reports that it will be sold on to Barclays.

We've just been through a bear rally in equities without the expected retracing and the credit markets have just had the worst quarter in six years.

Be scared. Be very scared....


Economic Growth and Employment


GDP

Q1: +1.0%

Unemployment

May: 5.5%



Industrial Production

May: -0.2%

NAPM Index

May: 49.6



Consumer Activity
Retail Sales

May: $385.4 billion

Consumer Spending

May: +0.8%



Consumer Confidence

June: 50.4


Inflation

CPI

May: +4.2%

PPI

May: +7.2%

Housing Construction and Sales

Housing Starts

May: 0.975 million

Existing Home Sales

May: 4.99 million


International Trade

Trade

April: $60.9 billion




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